AI leaders basket (6 stocks, equal weight): the last 12 months

The AI leaders basket is up 6.7% over 1Y but 8.9% below its high; its 90-day change fell from +12.2% at the end of September to −5.6%. October's AI capex doubts and negative free cash flow at the platforms drove the drop. Status quo for AI leaders: challenged.

Status quo card: AI leaders basket (6 stocks, equal weight), new status quo.

Month by month

Computed in code. Change: the calendar-month change (z against its own monthly history). 90-day: the trailing 90-day change at the month-end. Rank: its place among that month's biggest moves. Causes: the surviving monthly causes acting on it (a force's loading on this asset times the month's fitted strength, in standard deviations). ETF holdings use current weights (an approximation).

MonthChange90-dayRankCauses
November 2026 (month to date)+3.4% (z 1.1)−5.6%none of the surviving causes loads on it
October 2026−8.8% (z -1.7)−3.9%none of the surviving causes loads on it
September 2026+3.8% (z 0.1)+12.2%none of the surviving causes loads on it
August 2026+1.5% (z -0.2)−2.2%none of the surviving causes loads on it
July 2026+7.1% (z 0.5)−0.2%none of the surviving causes loads on it
June 2026−10.7% (z -2.0)+12.1%Real-yield shock (drove: AI leaders basket lagged S&P 500 (SPY) by 9.6 pp, score 6.7)
May 2026+4.8% (z 0.1)+20.1%none of the surviving causes loads on it
April 2026+21.2% (z 2.6)+6.0%none of the surviving causes loads on it
March 2026−5.0% (z -1.3)−11.4%none of the surviving causes loads on it
February 2026−7.9% (z -1.9)−8.5%none of the surviving causes loads on it
January 2026+1.3% (z -0.5)−0.6%none of the surviving causes loads on it
December 2025−1.9% (z -0.9)+3.1%none of the surviving causes loads on it
November 20250.0% (z -0.7)+11.4%none of the surviving causes loads on it

What drove each month · All assets

Not investment advice. MarketMoves describes past market data and reported news for general information. Figures can be delayed or wrong; check the original source before relying on them.