Silver (SLV ETF): the last 12 months

Silver (SLV) is up 10.3% over 1Y but 55.3% below its high; its 90-day change is −15.6%. It rose with gold in August's hard-asset trade, then lost 13.8% over the last month. Status quo for commodities: shifting.

Status quo card: Silver (SLV ETF), shifting.

Month by month

Computed in code. Change: the calendar-month change (z against its own monthly history). 90-day: the trailing 90-day change at the month-end. Rank: its place among that month's biggest moves. Causes: the surviving monthly causes acting on it (a force's loading on this asset times the month's fitted strength, in standard deviations). ETF holdings use current weights (an approximation).

MonthChange90-dayRankCauses
November 2026 (month to date)+5.7% (z 1.3)−15.6%none of the surviving causes loads on it
October 2026−18.2% (z -2.1)−14.8%none of the surviving causes loads on it
September 2026−9.3% (z -1.2)−0.9%none of the surviving causes loads on it
August 2026+14.8% (z 1.2)−11.6%Hard-asset / debasement trade: bitcoin rallied with gold and silver (evidence +14.8%, z 1.2); Hard-asset / debasement trade: ether rallied with bitcoin and gold (evidence +14.8%, z 1.2); Hard-asset / debasement trade lifted gold, silver and crypto together (evidence +14.8%, z 1.2); Precious metals were bid in the hard-asset trade, so gold outran copper (evidence +14.8%, z 1.2)
July 2026−2.1% (z -0.5)−23.3%none of the surviving causes loads on it
June 2026−21.8% (z -2.8)−21.5%2Hawkish first FOMC under Warsh and a stronger dollar (evidence −21.8%, z -2.8); A US-Iran deal and a hawkish Fed removed the crisis hedges (explains this move, score 11.2); Trend followers were caught by the reversal in oil and metals (evidence −21.8%, z -2.8)
May 2026+2.5% (z -0.1)−16.2%none of the surviving causes loads on it
April 2026−2.2% (z -0.6)−11.6%none of the surviving causes loads on it
March 2026−19.8% (z -2.9)+5.8%none of the surviving causes loads on it
February 2026+12.7% (z 1.0)+66.0%none of the surviving causes loads on it
January 2026+17.1% (z 1.6)+71.4%A weak dollar and geopolitical risk drove gold and emerging markets (evidence +17.1%, z 1.6)
December 2025+25.8% (z 3.0)+51.5%Industrial-metal squeeze: silver and copper hit records after the cut (drove: Silver (SLV) beat gold (GLD) by 23.6 pp, score 5.6); Industrial-metal squeeze lifted copper and silver above gold (evidence +25.8%, z 3.0)
November 2025+16.4% (z 1.8)+41.5%none of the surviving causes loads on it

What drove each month · All assets

Not investment advice. MarketMoves describes past market data and reported news for general information. Figures can be delayed or wrong; check the original source before relying on them.