Communication (XLC): the last 12 months

Communication (XLC) is down 5.8% over 1Y and 11.8% below its high; its 90-day change is −5.3%. It lost 10.0% in October as AI spending outran cash flow at Meta and Alphabet, then gained 5.1% in early November's relief rally. Status quo for sectors: intact, tech and platforms out of favour.

Status quo card: Communication (XLC), intact.

Month by month

Computed in code. Change: the calendar-month change (z against its own monthly history). 90-day: the trailing 90-day change at the month-end. Rank: its place among that month's biggest moves. Causes: the surviving monthly causes acting on it (a force's loading on this asset times the month's fitted strength, in standard deviations). ETF holdings use current weights (an approximation).

MonthChange90-dayRankCauses
November 2026 (month to date)+5.1% (z 3.0)−5.3%5Relief rally after the midterms: volatility fell and cyclicals and platforms rose (explains this move, score 15.1) Top holdings by contribution: APP +0.82 pp, META +0.52 pp, TTWO +0.46 pp. Sectors: Communication Services +5.15 pp (current weights, an approximation).
October 2026−10.0% (z -3.0)−7.4%3AI spending outran cash flow: Alphabet and Meta sold off (explains this move, score 11.9) Top holdings by contribution: META -3.23 pp, GOOGL -2.33 pp, GOOG -1.83 pp. Sectors: Communication Services -9.55 pp (current weights, an approximation).
September 2026−0.1% (z -0.4)+1.6%none of the surviving causes loads on it
August 2026+3.0% (z 0.4)−1.6%none of the surviving causes loads on it
July 2026+1.0% (z -0.1)−7.0%none of the surviving causes loads on it
June 2026−7.2% (z -2.4)−3.4%none of the surviving causes loads on it
May 2026−0.7% (z -0.7)−1.5%none of the surviving causes loads on it
April 2026+5.1% (z 0.8)−2.7%none of the surviving causes loads on it
March 2026−5.8% (z -2.2)−5.5%none of the surviving causes loads on it
February 2026−1.7% (z -1.1)+2.6%none of the surviving causes loads on it
January 2026+2.0% (z -0.2)+4.9%none of the surviving causes loads on it
December 2025+2.4% (z -0.0)+1.4%none of the surviving causes loads on it
November 2025+0.5% (z -0.5)+4.0%none of the surviving causes loads on it

What drove each month · All assets

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